Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
87%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · City Football Station
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Omiya Ardija
5th · 24 pts31% Tochigi
22% Draw
47% Omiya
OUR PICK
Omiya Ardija to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.95
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.21X4.5722.13
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Tochigi CityOmiya Ardija1.5Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.2
0.86Points per game1.71
21%Win rate43%
-4Goal difference8
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
Tochigi City form
LLLDDA Tegevajaro Miyazaki3–0
H Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
Omiya Ardija form
WWDLLH Iwaki2–1
A Vegalta Sendai1–2
H Yokohama FC2–2
H Kataller Toyama0–3
A Sagan Tosu2–1
Head to head
0
Tochigi
0
Draw
0
Omiya
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Omiya Ardija slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.56 for Tochigi City, 1.95 for Omiya Ardija), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points; Omiya Ardija are 5th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.