Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · City Football Station
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts1–3FULL TIME
Iwaki
8th · 20 pts43% Tochigi
22% Draw
35% Iwaki
OUR PICK
Tochigi City to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.65
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X4.5022.86
Goals 2.5Over1.48Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Tochigi CityIwaki1.5Goals per game1.6
1.8Conceded per game1.4
0.86Points per game1.43
21%Win rate43%
-4Goal difference3
2Form, last 5 (pts)11
Tochigi City form
LLDDLH Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
A Ventforet Kofu2–1
Iwaki form
WDDWWA Tochigi City1–3
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Shonan Bellmare1–1
H Ventforet Kofu5–0
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
Head to head
0
Tochigi
0
Draw
1
Iwaki
Oct 2026Tochigi City – Iwaki1–3
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Tochigi City 43%, the draw 22%, Iwaki 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.84 for Tochigi City, 1.65 for Iwaki), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points; Iwaki are 8th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.