Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 9Saturday, 3 October 2026 · City Football Station
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts1–2FULL TIME
Imabari
19th · 12 pts61% Tochigi
19% Draw
20% Imabari
OUR PICK
Tochigi City to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
2.37 – 1.30
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.64X5.2625.02
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Tochigi CityImabari1.5Goals per game1.1
1.8Conceded per game1.9
0.86Points per game0.86
21%Win rate21%
-4Goal difference-11
2Form, last 5 (pts)5
Tochigi City form
LLDDLH Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
A Ventforet Kofu2–1
Imabari form
DLLDWH Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Vegalta Sendai3–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–3
A Tokushima Vortis1–2
Head to head
0
Tochigi
0
Draw
1
Imabari
Oct 2026Tochigi City – Imabari1–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Tochigi City clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.37 for Tochigi City, 1.30 for Imabari), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points; Imabari are 19th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.