Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 12Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · City Football Station
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts2–2FULL TIME
Fujieda MYFC
15th · 16 pts37% Tochigi
26% Draw
36% Fujieda
OUR PICK
Tochigi City to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.68
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.30
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X3.8122.75
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Tochigi CityFujieda MYFC1.5Goals per game1.1
1.8Conceded per game1.1
0.86Points per game1.14
21%Win rate21%
-4Goal difference1
2Form, last 5 (pts)3
Tochigi City form
DLLDDA Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–0
H Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
Fujieda MYFC form
LDLDDH Jubilo Iwata1–2
A Blaublitz Akita1–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Tochigi City2–2
H Montedio Yamagata0–0
Head to head
0
Tochigi
1
Draw
0
Fujieda
Oct 2026Tochigi City – Fujieda MYFC2–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Tochigi City 37%, the draw 26%, Fujieda MYFC 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.32 for Tochigi City, 1.30 for Fujieda MYFC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points; Fujieda MYFC are 15th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.