Over 1.5 goals@1.59
Over 1.5
63%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Arena Kombetare
Tirana
5th · 12 pts13:30KICK-OFF WAT
Teuta Durrës
2nd · 20 pts22% Tirana
28% Draw
50% Teuta
OUR PICK
Teuta Durrës to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
0.78 – 1.35
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.62X3.5621.99
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.56
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.28
X2
78%
Season stats
TiranaTeuta Durrës1.4Goals per game1.4
1.5Conceded per game0.4
1.20Points per game2.00
30%Win rate60%
-1Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Tirana form
LDLWWH Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
H Dinamo Tirana1–1
A Vllaznia Shkodër2–0
H Laci1–0
A Partizani1–3
Teuta Durrës form
LLDWWH Partizani0–1
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
H AF Elbasani0–0
A Dinamo Tirana0–2
H Skenderbeu Korce2–0
Head to head
1
Tirana
2
Draw
2
Teuta
Aug 2026Teuta Durrës – Tirana3–1
May 2026Teuta Durrës – Tirana0–1
Feb 2026Tirana – Teuta Durrës0–1
Dec 2025Teuta Durrës – Tirana1–1
Oct 2025Tirana – Teuta Durrës0–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model makes Teuta Durrës slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.78 for Tirana, 1.35 for Teuta Durrës), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tirana sit 5th on 12 points; Teuta Durrës are 2nd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.