Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Arena Kombetare
Tirana
4th · 12 pts1–2LIVE 79'
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st · 21 pts27% Tirana
24% Draw
49% Egnatia
OUR PICK
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.71
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.66X4.2022.05
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
TiranaEgnatia Rrogozhinë1.4Goals per game2.0
1.4Conceded per game0.9
1.33Points per game2.33
33%Win rate78%
0Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)12
Tirana form
LDLWWH Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
H Dinamo Tirana1–1
A Vllaznia Shkodër2–0
H Laci1–0
A Partizani1–3
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Head to head
2
Tirana
0
Draw
3
Egnatia
Nov 2026Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
Aug 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Tirana3–0
Apr 2026Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1
Feb 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Tirana0–1
Nov 2025Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë9+1021
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana9012
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.22 for Tirana, 1.71 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tirana sit 4th on 12 points; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.