Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 9Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Arena Kombetare
Tirana
4th · 12 pts1–1FULL TIME
Dinamo Tirana
3rd · 16 pts39% Tirana
25% Draw
36% Dinamo
OUR PICK
Tirana to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.41
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X4.0122.75
Goals 2.5Over1.83Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
TiranaDinamo Tirana1.4Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.33Points per game1.78
33%Win rate56%
0Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Tirana form
LDLWWH Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
H Dinamo Tirana1–1
A Vllaznia Shkodër2–0
H Laci1–0
A Partizani1–3
Dinamo Tirana form
DWLLWA Tirana1–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
H Teuta Durrës0–2
A Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
H Otrant-Olympic4–1
Head to head
0
Tirana
3
Draw
2
Dinamo
Oct 2026Tirana – Dinamo Tirana1–1
Apr 2026Dinamo Tirana – Tirana1–1
Mar 2026Dinamo Tirana – Tirana2–0
Feb 2026Tirana – Dinamo Tirana0–2
Feb 2026Tirana – Dinamo Tirana1–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë9+1021
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana9012
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Tirana 39%, the draw 25%, Dinamo Tirana 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.46 for Tirana, 1.41 for Dinamo Tirana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tirana sit 4th on 12 points; Dinamo Tirana are 3rd on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.