Over 1.5 goals@1.55
Over 1.5
65%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Tigre
1–2FULL TIME
Banfield
52% Tigre
27% Draw
21% Banfield
OUR PICK
Tigre to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.79
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X3.6624.76
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Tigre form
WLDLLA Huracan0–2
H Atletico Tucuman0–1
A Independ. Rivadavia2–2
H Banfield1–2
A Argentinos JRS2–1
Banfield form
DLWDDH Lanus1–1
H Argentinos JRS0–1
A Tigre1–2
H Rosario Central1–1
A Gimnasia L.P.2–2
Head to head
2
Tigre
0
Draw
3
Banfield
Oct 2026Tigre – Banfield1–2
Mar 2026Banfield – Tigre1–0
Aug 2025Banfield – Tigre1–0
Jun 2025Tigre – Banfield2–0
Feb 2025Tigre – Banfield1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Tigre clear favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.41 for Tigre, 0.79 for Banfield), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.