Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Tigre
0–1FULL TIME
Atletico Tucuman
57% Tigre
25% Draw
18% Atletico
OUR PICK
Tigre to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.79
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X4.0225.47
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.75
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Tigre form
WLDLLA Huracan0–2
H Atletico Tucuman0–1
A Independ. Rivadavia2–2
H Banfield1–2
A Argentinos JRS2–1
Atletico Tucuman form
DWLDLH Platense1–1
A Tigre0–1
H Rosario Central2–3
A Gimnasia L.P.1–1
H Barracas Central2–3
Head to head
1
Tigre
3
Draw
1
Atletico
Oct 2026Tigre – Atletico Tucuman0–1
Apr 2026Atletico Tucuman – Tigre0–0
Oct 2024Atletico Tucuman – Tigre1–2
May 2023Tigre – Atletico Tucuman0–0
Aug 2022Tigre – Atletico Tucuman0–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Tigre clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.61 for Tigre, 0.79 for Atletico Tucuman), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.