Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 29Saturday, 24 October 2026 · TEDA Football Stadium
Tianjin Teda
12th · 31 pts1–3FULL TIME
SHANGHAI SIPG
5th · 42 pts40% Tianjin
28% Draw
33% SHANGHAI
OUR PICK
Tianjin Teda to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X3.6323.05
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
Tianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPG1.3Goals per game1.7
1.2Conceded per game1.2
1.07Points per game1.45
38%Win rate45%
4Goal difference14
12Form, last 5 (pts)13
Tianjin Teda form
LWWWWH SHANGHAI SIPG1–3
A Henan Jianye0–1
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Shenyang Urban1–0
H Hangzhou Greentown2–1
SHANGHAI SIPG form
LWWDWH Công An Nhân Dân2–3
A Tianjin Teda1–3
H Chengdu Better City3–0
H Daejeon Citizen1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown2–4
Head to head
0
Tianjin
2
Draw
3
SHANGHAI
Oct 2026Tianjin Teda – SHANGHAI SIPG1–3
May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG – Tianjin Teda1–1
Aug 2025SHANGHAI SIPG – Tianjin Teda1–1
Apr 2025Tianjin Teda – SHANGHAI SIPG1–4
Nov 2024SHANGHAI SIPG – Tianjin Teda5–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Tianjin Teda 40%, the draw 28%, SHANGHAI SIPG 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.27 for Tianjin Teda, 1.13 for SHANGHAI SIPG), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tianjin Teda sit 12th on 31 points; SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.