Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
WALPremier League · Matchday 15Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Park Hall
The New Saints
1st · 41 pts0–0FULL TIME
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2nd · 35 pts62% The
23% Draw
15% GAP
OUR PICK
The New Saints to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.73
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.62X4.3226.54
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
The New SaintsGAP Connah S Quay FC3.5Goals per game2.1
0.4Conceded per game0.6
2.73Points per game2.33
87%Win rate73%
47Goal difference23
13Form, last 5 (pts)13
The New Saints form
DWWWWH GAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
H Ammanford AFC9–0
A Airbus UK1–2
A Holywell1–6
H Cambrian & Clydach9–0
GAP Connah S Quay FC form
DWWWWA The New Saints0–0
H Llandudno2–0
H Porthmadog4–0
A Briton Ferry1–2
H Penybont1–0
Head to head
3
The
1
Draw
1
GAP
Oct 2026The New Saints – GAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
Apr 2026The New Saints – GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
Mar 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC – The New Saints1–2
Dec 2025GAP Connah S Quay FC – The New Saints3–1
Sept 2025GAP Connah S Quay FC – The New Saints1–3
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes The New Saints clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.74 for The New Saints, 0.73 for GAP Connah S Quay FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
The New Saints sit 1st on 41 points; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.