Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
WALPremier League · Matchday 14Friday, 23 October 2026 · Park Hall
The New Saints
1st · 41 pts9–0FULL TIME
Ammanford AFC
14th · 9 pts93% The
6% Draw
2% Ammanford
OUR PICK
The New Saints to win
Model probability 93% · fair odds
1.08
Expected goals
3.50 – 0.35
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.08X17.22264.08
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.40
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.40
NG
71%
Double chance@1.02
1X
98%
Season stats
The New SaintsAmmanford AFC3.5Goals per game0.7
0.4Conceded per game2.8
2.73Points per game0.60
87%Win rate13%
47Goal difference-32
13Form, last 5 (pts)6
The New Saints form
DWWWWH GAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
H Ammanford AFC9–0
A Airbus UK1–2
A Holywell1–6
H Cambrian & Clydach9–0
Ammanford AFC form
LLWWWH Haverfordwest County AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
A FC Cwmaman2–4
A Cambrian & Clydach0–1
H Holywell2–1
Head to head
1
The
0
Draw
0
Ammanford
Oct 2026The New Saints – Ammanford AFC9–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes The New Saints clear favourites, giving them a 93% chance of winning against 6% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (3.50 for The New Saints, 0.35 for Ammanford AFC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
The New Saints sit 1st on 41 points; Ammanford AFC are 14th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.