Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadiumi Niko Dovana
Teuta Durrës
2nd · 20 pts2–0FULL TIME
Skenderbeu Korce
7th · 11 pts54% Teuta
29% Draw
17% Skenderbeu
OUR PICK
Teuta Durrës to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.61
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X3.4925.85
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.51
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.51
NG
66%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu Korce1.4Goals per game1.1
0.4Conceded per game1.2
2.00Points per game1.10
60%Win rate20%
10Goal difference-1
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Teuta Durrës form
LDWWWA Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
H AF Elbasani0–0
A Dinamo Tirana0–2
H Skenderbeu Korce2–0
H FK Kukesi5–0
Skenderbeu Korce form
DDWWLH Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
H Laci1–1
A Partizani0–2
H AF Elbasani2–1
A Teuta Durrës2–0
Head to head
3
Teuta
1
Draw
1
Skenderbeu
Oct 2026Teuta Durrës – Skenderbeu Korce2–0
Mar 2025Teuta Durrës – Skenderbeu Korce1–0
Jan 2025Skenderbeu Korce – Teuta Durrës2–1
Nov 2024Teuta Durrës – Skenderbeu Korce1–1
Sept 2024Skenderbeu Korce – Teuta Durrës2–3
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model makes Teuta Durrës clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.33 for Teuta Durrës, 0.61 for Skenderbeu Korce), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Teuta Durrës sit 2nd on 20 points; Skenderbeu Korce are 7th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.