Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadiumi Niko Dovana
Teuta Durrës
2nd · 20 pts0–0FULL TIME
AF Elbasani
4th · 14 pts61% Teuta
24% Draw
15% AF
OUR PICK
Teuta Durrës to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.63
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.68
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.63X4.2126.77
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
Teuta DurrësAF Elbasani1.4Goals per game1.3
0.4Conceded per game1.2
2.00Points per game1.40
60%Win rate30%
10Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Teuta Durrës form
LLDWWH Partizani0–1
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
H AF Elbasani0–0
A Dinamo Tirana0–2
H Skenderbeu Korce2–0
AF Elbasani form
WWDLDH Laci2–1
H Partizani2–1
A Teuta Durrës0–0
A Skenderbeu Korce2–1
H Vora1–1
Head to head
0
Teuta
3
Draw
2
AF
Oct 2026Teuta Durrës – AF Elbasani0–0
Apr 2026Teuta Durrës – AF Elbasani1–2
Feb 2026AF Elbasani – Teuta Durrës2–1
Dec 2025Teuta Durrës – AF Elbasani0–0
Sept 2025AF Elbasani – Teuta Durrës0–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model makes Teuta Durrës clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.68 for Teuta Durrës, 0.68 for AF Elbasani), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Teuta Durrës sit 2nd on 20 points; AF Elbasani are 4th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.