Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · AGC Arena Na Stinadlech
Teplice
6th · 21 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sigma Olomouc
3rd · 24 pts40% Teplice
24% Draw
37% Sigma
OUR PICK
Teplice to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X4.1922.74
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
TepliceSigma Olomouc1.6Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.62Points per game1.85
46%Win rate54%
3Goal difference7
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Teplice form
WLDLDA Slovácko1–3
A Slovan Liberec1–0
H Artis0–0
A Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Sigma Olomouc1–1
Sigma Olomouc form
WDWDWH Zbrojovka Brno3–0
A Zlin1–1
H Slovan Liberec1–0
A Teplice1–1
H Žilina4–0
Head to head
1
Teplice
2
Draw
2
Sigma
Oct 2026Teplice – Sigma Olomouc1–1
Feb 2026Teplice – Sigma Olomouc1–3
Sept 2025Sigma Olomouc – Teplice0–0
Nov 2024Teplice – Sigma Olomouc1–0
Aug 2024Sigma Olomouc – Teplice2–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Teplice 40%, the draw 24%, Sigma Olomouc 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.58 for Teplice, 1.51 for Sigma Olomouc), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Teplice sit 6th on 21 points; Sigma Olomouc are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.