Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · AGC Arena Na Stinadlech
Teplice
6th · 21 pts13:00KICK-OFF WAT
Pardubice
12th · 14 pts55% Teplice
23% Draw
22% Pardubice
OUR PICK
Teplice to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.08
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.3624.47
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.29
1X
78%
Season stats
TeplicePardubice1.6Goals per game1.2
1.4Conceded per game1.5
1.62Points per game1.08
46%Win rate31%
3Goal difference-4
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Teplice form
WLDLDA Slovácko1–3
A Slovan Liberec1–0
H Artis0–0
A Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Sigma Olomouc1–1
Pardubice form
LWWWLH Slovan Liberec1–2
A Slovácko1–4
A Plzen1–2
H Zlin3–0
A Sparta Praha2–0
Head to head
3
Teplice
2
Draw
0
Pardubice
Feb 2026Pardubice – Teplice1–1
Sept 2025Teplice – Pardubice0–0
May 2025Teplice – Pardubice3–0
Mar 2025Teplice – Pardubice2–0
Sept 2024Pardubice – Teplice0–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Slovan Liberec12+723
5Sparta Praha12+1222
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190511016
Match preview
Our model makes Teplice clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.82 for Teplice, 1.08 for Pardubice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Teplice sit 6th on 21 points; Pardubice are 12th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.