Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Tenerife
12th · 14 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC Andorra
20th · 10 pts49% Tenerife
24% Draw
27% FC
OUR PICK
Tenerife to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.22
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.04X4.2123.68
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
TenerifeFC Andorra1.2Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.8
1.27Points per game0.91
27%Win rate27%
-2Goal difference-5
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Tenerife form
DDDLDA Sabadell1–1
A Celta de Vigo II1–1
H Girona1–1
A Cordoba3–2
H Cadiz1–1
FC Andorra form
WLLWDA Varea0–3
H Burgos2–3
A Girona2–0
H Castellón1–0
A Sabadell0–0
Head to head
1
Tenerife
2
Draw
1
FC
Feb 2024Tenerife – FC Andorra0–0
Sept 2023FC Andorra – Tenerife0–1
May 2023FC Andorra – Tenerife1–0
Dec 2022Tenerife – FC Andorra1–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Tenerife slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.72 for Tenerife, 1.22 for FC Andorra), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tenerife sit 12th on 14 points; FC Andorra are 20th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.