Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Sportpark Schoonenberg
Telstar
16th · 6 pts3–1HALF TIME
Utrecht
11th · 12 pts46% Telstar
21% Draw
33% Utrecht
OUR PICK
Telstar to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.70
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.16X4.7223.08
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.40NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.40
GG
71%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
TelstarUtrecht1.2Goals per game1.7
2.1Conceded per game2.7
0.60Points per game1.20
10%Win rate30%
-9Goal difference-10
2Form, last 5 (pts)10
Telstar form
No recent matches.
Utrecht form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Telstar
0
Draw
0
Utrecht
These sides haven't met recently.
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente10+920
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen10+315
9GO Ahead Eagles10014
10Cambuur10-312
Match preview
Our model makes Telstar slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.05 for Telstar, 1.70 for Utrecht), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Telstar sit 16th on 6 points; Utrecht are 11th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.