Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Sportpark Schoonenberg
Telstar
16th · 9 pts3–4FULL TIME
Feyenoord
1st · 25 pts15% Telstar
18% Draw
66% Feyenoord
OUR PICK
Feyenoord to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.33
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.54X5.4321.51
Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.18
X2
85%
Season stats
TelstarFeyenoord1.5Goals per game3.0
2.1Conceded per game1.1
0.82Points per game2.27
18%Win rate64%
-7Goal difference21
4Form, last 5 (pts)11
Telstar form
WLLLDH Utrecht4–2
H Almere City FC0–2
A GO Ahead Eagles3–2
H Feyenoord3–4
H ADO Den Haag2–2
Feyenoord form
DDLWWH Fortuna Sittard1–1
A PSV Eindhoven1–1
A Real Betis1–0
A Telstar3–4
H Como3–2
Head to head
0
Telstar
0
Draw
3
Feyenoord
Oct 2026Telstar – Feyenoord3–4
Feb 2026Feyenoord – Telstar2–1
Nov 2025Telstar – Feyenoord1–2
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes Feyenoord clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.03 for Telstar, 2.33 for Feyenoord), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Telstar sit 16th on 9 points; Feyenoord are 1st on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.