Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 15Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Unilever Stadium Shintomi
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
6th · 23 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts59% Tegevajaro
21% Draw
21% Tochigi
OUR PICK
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.19
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X4.8724.84
Goals 2.5Over1.55Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Tegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City1.5Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game1.8
1.64Points per game0.86
43%Win rate21%
5Goal difference-4
11Form, last 5 (pts)2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki form
WWWDDH Oita Trinita2–0
A Montedio Yamagata0–2
H Blaublitz Akita2–1
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Kataller Toyama1–1
Tochigi City form
LLDDLH Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
A Ventforet Kofu2–1
Head to head
0
Tegevajaro
1
Draw
1
Tochigi
Oct 2025Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Tochigi City1–1
Mar 2025Tochigi City – Tegevajaro Miyazaki3–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.13 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki, 1.19 for Tochigi City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki sit 6th on 23 points; Tochigi City are 18th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.