Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12Monday, 12 October 2026 · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Talleres Cordoba
4th · 26 pts0–0FULL TIME
Independiente
5th · 24 pts46% Talleres
25% Draw
29% Independiente
OUR PICK
Talleres Cordoba to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.9523.49
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Talleres CordobaIndependiente1.1Goals per game1.5
0.8Conceded per game1.3
1.63Points per game1.50
44%Win rate38%
4Goal difference4
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Talleres Cordoba form
WLLDLA Deportivo Riestra0–3
H Defensa Y Justicia1–2
A Boca Juniors2–1
H Independiente0–0
H Belgrano Cordoba0–1
Independiente form
DLDDLA Defensa Y Justicia1–1
H Boca Juniors0–1
A Racing Club1–1
A Talleres Cordoba0–0
H Instituto Cordoba1–4
Head to head
3
Talleres
1
Draw
1
Independiente
Oct 2026Talleres Cordoba – Independiente0–0
Mar 2026Independiente – Talleres Cordoba1–2
Jul 2025Independiente – Talleres Cordoba1–2
Jan 2025Talleres Cordoba – Independiente2–3
May 2024Independiente – Talleres Cordoba1–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Talleres Cordoba slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.54 for Talleres Cordoba, 1.16 for Independiente), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Talleres Cordoba sit 4th on 26 points; Independiente are 5th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.