Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · County Ground
Swindon Town
13th · 19 pts2–1FULL TIME
Rotherham
22nd · 12 pts49% Swindon
25% Draw
26% Rotherham
OUR PICK
Swindon Town to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.07
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X4.0023.91
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Swindon TownRotherham1.1Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.8
1.36Points per game0.86
36%Win rate14%
-2Goal difference-7
8Form, last 5 (pts)2
Swindon Town form
No recent matches.
Rotherham form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Swindon
0
Draw
0
Rotherham
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Swindon Town slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.59 for Swindon Town, 1.07 for Rotherham), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points; Rotherham are 22nd on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.