Over 1.5 goals@1.76
Over 1.5
57%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Swedru Stadium
Swedru All Blacks
7th · 14 pts2–0FULL TIME
Karela
14th · 10 pts42% Swedru
31% Draw
27% Karela
OUR PICK
Swedru All Blacks to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.81
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X3.2023.75
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.43
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.36
1X
73%
Season stats
Swedru All BlacksKarela1.0Goals per game0.9
0.8Conceded per game1.2
1.56Points per game1.11
44%Win rate33%
2Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Swedru All Blacks form
LWWWLH Ashanti Gold1–2
A Young Apostles1–2
H Karela2–0
H Asante Kotoko1–0
A Aduana Stars2–1
Karela form
DLLWLA Young Apostles0–0
H Port City1–2
A Swedru All Blacks2–0
H Dreams1–0
A Asante Kotoko1–0
Head to head
1
Swedru
1
Draw
1
Karela
Oct 2026Swedru All Blacks – Karela2–0
May 2026Karela – Swedru All Blacks1–0
Dec 2025Swedru All Blacks – Karela1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Swedru All Blacks slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.10 for Swedru All Blacks, 0.81 for Karela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Swedru All Blacks sit 7th on 14 points; Karela are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.