Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea
2nd · 26 pts4–0FULL TIME
Blackburn
13th · 18 pts56% Swansea
23% Draw
21% Blackburn
OUR PICK
Swansea to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.99
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X4.2824.77
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
SwanseaBlackburn1.5Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game1.38
62%Win rate38%
7Goal difference-1
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Swansea form
No recent matches.
Blackburn form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Swansea
0
Draw
0
Blackburn
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Swansea clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.77 for Swansea, 0.99 for Blackburn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Swansea sit 2nd on 26 points; Blackburn are 13th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.