Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Brita Arena
SV Wehen
6th · 18 pts7–1FULL TIME
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th · 12 pts55% SV
24% Draw
22% SG
OUR PICK
SV Wehen to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.01
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.2524.60
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
SV WehenSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.9Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game2.2
1.50Points per game1.00
42%Win rate25%
6Goal difference-13
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
SV Wehen form
WWDWWA Verl1–4
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach7–1
A SSV Jahn Regensburg0–0
H Alemannia Aachen3–0
A FC Ingolstadt 042–4
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach form
LLLWDH Rot-Weiß Essen0–1
H FC Augsburg2–4
A SV Wehen7–1
H Preußen Münster3–2
A FC Viktoria Köln2–2
Head to head
5
SV
0
Draw
0
SG
Oct 2026SV Wehen – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach7–1
Mar 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – SV Wehen2–3
Sept 2018SV Wehen – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–0
Mar 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – SV Wehen1–3
Sept 2017SV Wehen – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach5–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes SV Wehen clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.75 for SV Wehen, 1.01 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Wehen sit 6th on 18 points; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.