Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Brita Arena
SV Wehen
6th · 18 pts3–0FULL TIME
Alemannia Aachen
5th · 20 pts44% SV
23% Draw
32% Alemannia
OUR PICK
SV Wehen to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X4.3123.08
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
SV WehenAlemannia Aachen1.9Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.5
1.50Points per game1.67
42%Win rate50%
6Goal difference1
13Form, last 5 (pts)9
SV Wehen form
WWDWWA Verl1–4
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach7–1
A SSV Jahn Regensburg0–0
H Alemannia Aachen3–0
A FC Ingolstadt 042–4
Alemannia Aachen form
WWWLLH Preußen Münster2–1
A Stuttgart II1–2
H Hansa Rostock2–0
A SV Wehen3–0
H FC Viktoria Köln2–5
Head to head
2
SV
1
Draw
2
Alemannia
Oct 2026SV Wehen – Alemannia Aachen3–0
Apr 2026Alemannia Aachen – SV Wehen3–0
Oct 2025SV Wehen – Alemannia Aachen1–2
May 2025SV Wehen – Alemannia Aachen2–1
Dec 2024Alemannia Aachen – SV Wehen0–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes SV Wehen slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.74 for SV Wehen, 1.46 for Alemannia Aachen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Wehen sit 6th on 18 points; Alemannia Aachen are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.