Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Hänsch-Arena
SV Meppen
12th · 15 pts4–0FULL TIME
Würzburger Kickers
15th · 14 pts41% SV
25% Draw
34% Würzburger
OUR PICK
SV Meppen to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.43X4.0022.95
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
SV MeppenWürzburger Kickers1.3Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game2.0
1.25Points per game1.17
33%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference-7
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
SV Meppen form
DWDWDA Fortuna Düsseldorf0–0
H Würzburger Kickers4–0
H Havelse1–1
A Hansa Rostock0–2
H Stuttgart II1–1
Würzburger Kickers form
WLWDLA Fortuna Köln1–2
A SV Meppen4–0
H Waldhof Mannheim2–0
A Havelse2–2
H Hansa Rostock0–2
Head to head
2
SV
0
Draw
3
Würzburger
Oct 2026SV Meppen – Würzburger Kickers4–0
Apr 2022SV Meppen – FC Wurzburger Kickers2–4
Nov 2021FC Wurzburger Kickers – SV Meppen1–3
May 2020SV Meppen – FC Wurzburger Kickers1–3
Sept 2019FC Wurzburger Kickers – SV Meppen3–2
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: SV Meppen 41%, the draw 25%, Würzburger Kickers 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.50 for SV Meppen, 1.34 for Würzburger Kickers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Meppen sit 12th on 15 points; Würzburger Kickers are 15th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.