Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Hänsch-Arena
SV Meppen
12th · 15 pts1–1FULL TIME
Havelse
20th · 10 pts57% SV
21% Draw
22% Havelse
OUR PICK
SV Meppen to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.23
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X4.7424.49
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
SV MeppenHavelse1.3Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game2.2
1.25Points per game0.83
33%Win rate17%
-1Goal difference-9
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
SV Meppen form
DWDWDA Fortuna Düsseldorf0–0
H Würzburger Kickers4–0
H Havelse1–1
A Hansa Rostock0–2
H Stuttgart II1–1
Havelse form
DWDDLH FC Ingolstadt 041–1
H FC Saarbrücken3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
H Würzburger Kickers2–2
A SSV Jahn Regensburg5–0
Head to head
2
SV
1
Draw
2
Havelse
Oct 2026SV Meppen – Havelse1–1
Mar 2025Havelse – SV Meppen2–1
Sept 2024SV Meppen – Havelse4–0
Apr 2024SV Meppen – Havelse4–1
Oct 2023Havelse – SV Meppen4–2
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes SV Meppen clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.07 for SV Meppen, 1.23 for Havelse), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Meppen sit 12th on 15 points; Havelse are 20th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.