Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Alpenstadion
SV Kapfenberg
14th · 8 pts1–1FULL TIME
SKN ST. Polten
11th · 14 pts35% SV
28% Draw
36% SKN
OUR PICK
SKN ST. Polten to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.75
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X3.5422.75
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
SV KapfenbergSKN ST. Polten1.3Goals per game0.9
1.9Conceded per game1.0
0.73Points per game1.27
18%Win rate36%
-7Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)8
SV Kapfenberg form
DDWLLA Floridsdorfer AC2–2
H SKN ST. Polten1–1
A Sturm Graz II0–2
H Austria Vienna (Am)0–1
A TSV Hartberg5–0
SKN ST. Polten form
WDDLWH WSPG Wels2–1
A SV Kapfenberg1–1
H Rapid Wien II0–0
A First Vienna3–1
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–1
Head to head
1
SV
1
Draw
3
SKN
Oct 2026SV Kapfenberg – SKN ST. Polten1–1
May 2026SV Kapfenberg – SKN ST. Polten0–3
Nov 2025SKN ST. Polten – SV Kapfenberg2–1
Mar 2025SKN ST. Polten – SV Kapfenberg3–1
Aug 2024SV Kapfenberg – SKN ST. Polten2–0
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: SV Kapfenberg 35%, the draw 28%, SKN ST. Polten 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.15 for SV Kapfenberg, 1.17 for SKN ST. Polten), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Kapfenberg sit 14th on 8 points; SKN ST. Polten are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.