Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Friday, 23 October 2026 · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
SV Darmstadt 98
16th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
FC St. Pauli
8th · 12 pts29% SV
25% Draw
46% FC
OUR PICK
FC St. Pauli to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.58
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.48X4.0222.16
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
SV Darmstadt 98FC St. Pauli0.9Goals per game1.2
1.9Conceded per game1.2
0.90Points per game1.20
20%Win rate20%
-10Goal difference0
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
SV Darmstadt 98 form
DWDLWH 1. FC Magdeburg1–1
A SV Elversberg0–2
H FC St. Pauli0–0
A Karlsruher SC4–0
H Energie Cottbus3–1
FC St. Pauli form
LDDWDH 1. FC Nürnberg1–3
A SV Darmstadt 980–0
A Hannover 961–1
H Karlsruher SC2–0
H Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1
Head to head
2
SV
2
Draw
1
FC
Oct 2026SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. Pauli0–0
May 2023SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. Pauli0–3
Oct 2022FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 981–1
Apr 2022FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 981–2
Nov 2021SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. Pauli4–0
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes FC St. Pauli slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.19 for SV Darmstadt 98, 1.58 for FC St. Pauli), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SV Darmstadt 98 sit 16th on 9 points; FC St. Pauli are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.