Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadio Druso
Sudtirol
8th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Cesena
12th · 12 pts48% Sudtirol
28% Draw
24% Cesena
OUR PICK
Sudtirol to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
1.36 – 0.86
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.06X3.6024.22
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.62
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
SudtirolCesena1.1Goals per game1.1
1.0Conceded per game1.4
1.40Points per game1.20
30%Win rate20%
1Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sudtirol form
No recent matches.
Cesena form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Sudtirol
0
Draw
0
Cesena
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Sudtirol slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.36 for Sudtirol, 0.86 for Cesena), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sudtirol sit 8th on 14 points; Cesena are 12th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.