Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · WIRmachenDRUCK Arena
Stuttgart II
13th · 15 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Verl
17th · 12 pts58% Stuttgart
19% Draw
23% Verl
OUR PICK
Stuttgart II to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.40 – 1.48
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X5.2124.35
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Stuttgart IIVerl1.8Goals per game1.4
1.9Conceded per game2.2
1.25Points per game1.00
33%Win rate25%
-2Goal difference-9
8Form, last 5 (pts)2
Stuttgart II form
DLWWDA MSV Duisburg3–3
H Alemannia Aachen1–2
A Fortuna Köln0–1
H Hoffenheim II3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
Verl form
LLLDDH SV Wehen1–4
A FC Viktoria Köln3–1
A Hoffenheim II2–1
H SSV Jahn Regensburg2–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf2–2
Head to head
0
Stuttgart
3
Draw
1
Verl
Feb 2026Verl – Stuttgart II4–0
Aug 2025Stuttgart II – Verl1–1
Apr 2025Stuttgart II – Verl1–1
Nov 2024Verl – Stuttgart II2–2
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Stuttgart II clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.40 for Stuttgart II, 1.48 for Verl), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stuttgart II sit 13th on 15 points; Verl are 17th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.