Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · comtech Arena
Stuttgart II
13th · 15 pts3–2FULL TIME
Hoffenheim II
9th · 16 pts40% Stuttgart
22% Draw
38% Hoffenheim
OUR PICK
Stuttgart II to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.51X4.4622.65
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Stuttgart IIHoffenheim II1.8Goals per game1.8
1.9Conceded per game1.7
1.25Points per game1.33
33%Win rate42%
-2Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Stuttgart II form
DLWWDA MSV Duisburg3–3
H Alemannia Aachen1–2
A Fortuna Köln0–1
H Hoffenheim II3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
Hoffenheim II form
LLWLLH FC Viktoria Köln0–1
A Waldhof Mannheim4–1
H Verl2–1
A Stuttgart II3–2
A MSV Duisburg3–2
Head to head
4
Stuttgart
1
Draw
0
Hoffenheim
Oct 2026Stuttgart II – Hoffenheim II3–2
Mar 2026Stuttgart II – Hoffenheim II1–0
Oct 2025Hoffenheim II – Stuttgart II1–3
May 2024Stuttgart II – Hoffenheim II2–0
Nov 2023Hoffenheim II – Stuttgart II1–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Stuttgart II 40%, the draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.76 for Stuttgart II, 1.71 for Hoffenheim II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stuttgart II sit 13th on 15 points; Hoffenheim II are 9th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.