Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · comtech Arena
Stuttgart II
13th · 15 pts1–2FULL TIME
Alemannia Aachen
5th · 20 pts46% Stuttgart
22% Draw
32% Alemannia
OUR PICK
Stuttgart II to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.19
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.57
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.19X4.5223.11
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
67%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Stuttgart IIAlemannia Aachen1.8Goals per game1.6
1.9Conceded per game1.5
1.25Points per game1.67
33%Win rate50%
-2Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Stuttgart II form
DLWWDA MSV Duisburg3–3
H Alemannia Aachen1–2
A Fortuna Köln0–1
H Hoffenheim II3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
Alemannia Aachen form
WWWLLH Preußen Münster2–1
A Stuttgart II1–2
H Hansa Rostock2–0
A SV Wehen3–0
H FC Viktoria Köln2–5
Head to head
1
Stuttgart
0
Draw
4
Alemannia
Oct 2026Stuttgart II – Alemannia Aachen1–2
Apr 2026Alemannia Aachen – Stuttgart II3–1
Nov 2025Stuttgart II – Alemannia Aachen1–3
May 2025Stuttgart II – Alemannia Aachen2–1
Dec 2024Alemannia Aachen – Stuttgart II2–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Stuttgart II slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.90 for Stuttgart II, 1.57 for Alemannia Aachen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stuttgart II sit 13th on 15 points; Alemannia Aachen are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.