Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Solarstadion Gleisdorf
Sturm Graz II
13th · 11 pts0–2FULL TIME
SV Kapfenberg
14th · 8 pts58% Sturm
19% Draw
23% SV
OUR PICK
Sturm Graz II to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.51
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.74X5.2224.29
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.41NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.41
GG
71%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Sturm Graz IISV Kapfenberg1.6Goals per game1.3
2.2Conceded per game1.9
1.00Points per game0.73
27%Win rate18%
-6Goal difference-7
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sturm Graz II form
WLLLDH Voitsberg2–0
A Austria Vienna (Am)1–0
H SV Kapfenberg0–2
A FC Liefering3–1
H Wacker Innsbruck2–2
SV Kapfenberg form
DDWLLA Floridsdorfer AC2–2
H SKN ST. Polten1–1
A Sturm Graz II0–2
H Austria Vienna (Am)0–1
A TSV Hartberg5–0
Head to head
0
Sturm
1
Draw
4
SV
Oct 2026Sturm Graz II – SV Kapfenberg0–2
Mar 2026SV Kapfenberg – Sturm Graz II2–1
Aug 2025Sturm Graz II – SV Kapfenberg1–2
Mar 2025SV Kapfenberg – Sturm Graz II1–1
Aug 2024Sturm Graz II – SV Kapfenberg1–2
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes Sturm Graz II clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.42 for Sturm Graz II, 1.51 for SV Kapfenberg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sturm Graz II sit 13th on 11 points; SV Kapfenberg are 14th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.