NOR1. Division · Matchday 29Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset

2nd · 60 pts

17:00KICK-OFF WAT

Moss

14th · 29 pts

81% Stromsgodset

12% Draw

8% Moss

OUR PICK

Stromsgodset to win

Model probability 81% · fair odds

1.24

Expected goals

3.20 – 0.93

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.24X8.64213.32

Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29

Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.09

Over 1.5

92%

Over/Under 2.5@1.29

Over 2.5

78%

Both teams to score@1.72

58%

Double chance@1.08

92%

Season stats

StromsgodsetMoss

2.7Goals per game1.5

1.2Conceded per game2.1

2.14Points per game1.04

64%Win rate29%

42Goal difference-18

12Form, last 5 (pts)4

Stromsgodset form

LLWWW

A Molde4–1

A Strommen1–0

H Haugesund5–0

H Kongsvinger5–1

A Lyn1–5

Moss form

LLDWL

H Asane1–3

A Lyn1–0

H Egersund0–0

A Raufoss1–2

H Kongsvinger0–2

Head to head

Stromsgodset

Draw

Moss

May 2026Moss – Stromsgodset1–1

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Haugesund28+3462

2Stromsgodset28+4260

3Kongsvinger28+3759

4Stabaek28+3255

5ODD Ballklubb28+1145

6Bryne28-140

7Ranheim28+338

8hodd28-738

9Strommen28-1036

10Egersund28-1135

Match preview

Our model makes Stromsgodset clear favourites, giving them a 81% chance of winning against 12% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.20 for Stromsgodset, 0.93 for Moss), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Stromsgodset sit 2nd on 60 points; Moss are 14th on 29.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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