NOR1. Division · Matchday 27Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset

2nd · 63 pts

5–0FULL TIME

Haugesund

1st · 65 pts

52% Stromsgodset

20% Draw

29% Haugesund

OUR PICK

Stromsgodset to win

Model probability 52% · fair odds

1.93

Expected goals

2.37 – 1.75

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.93X5.0923.49

Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29

Both scoreGG1.34NG3.77

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.09

Over 1.5

92%

Over/Under 2.5@1.29

Over 2.5

78%

Both teams to score@1.34

75%

Double chance@1.24

80%

Season stats

StromsgodsetHaugesund

2.7Goals per game2.9

1.2Conceded per game1.7

2.17Points per game2.24

66%Win rate72%

45Goal difference36

12Form, last 5 (pts)10

Stromsgodset form

WLLWW

H Moss3–0

A Molde4–1

A Strommen1–0

H Haugesund5–0

H Kongsvinger5–1

Haugesund form

WLWLW

A Asane1–3

A Tromso3–2

H hodd3–2

A Stromsgodset5–0

H Lyn3–0

Head to head

Stromsgodset

Draw

Haugesund

Oct 2026Stromsgodset – Haugesund5–0

Apr 2026Haugesund – Stromsgodset4–2

Aug 2025Stromsgodset – Haugesund2–0

Apr 2025Haugesund – Stromsgodset0–5

Sept 2024Haugesund – Stromsgodset0–0

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Haugesund29+3665

2Stromsgodset29+4563

3Kongsvinger29+3659

4Stabaek29+3358

5ODD Ballklubb29+1146

6Bryne29+243

7Ranheim29+441

8Egersund29-938

9hodd29-1038

10Strommen29-1236

Match preview

Our model makes Stromsgodset slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.37 for Stromsgodset, 1.75 for Haugesund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Stromsgodset sit 2nd on 63 points; Haugesund are 1st on 65.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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