Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 24Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Marienlyst Stadion
Stromsgodset
2nd · 63 pts1–0FULL TIME
Asane
15th · 26 pts84% Stromsgodset
10% Draw
6% Asane
OUR PICK
Stromsgodset to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.19
Expected goals
3.50 – 0.93
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.19X10.10216.26
Goals 2.5Over1.23Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.07
1X
94%
Season stats
StromsgodsetAsane2.7Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game2.2
2.17Points per game0.90
66%Win rate24%
45Goal difference-24
12Form, last 5 (pts)6
Stromsgodset form
WLLWWH Moss3–0
A Molde4–1
A Strommen1–0
H Haugesund5–0
H Kongsvinger5–1
Asane form
LWWLLH Haugesund1–3
H hodd3–0
A Moss1–3
H Stabaek0–1
A Strommen6–1
Head to head
2
Stromsgodset
0
Draw
0
Asane
Oct 2026Stromsgodset – Asane1–0
May 2026Asane – Stromsgodset0–3
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Stromsgodset clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 10% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (3.50 for Stromsgodset, 0.93 for Asane), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stromsgodset sit 2nd on 63 points; Asane are 15th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.