Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
91%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026
Strommen
9th · 36 pts1–0FULL TIME
Stromsgodset
2nd · 60 pts18% Strommen
17% Draw
66% Stromsgodset
OUR PICK
Stromsgodset to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.72
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.70X5.9021.53
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.20
12
83%
Season stats
StrommenStromsgodset1.8Goals per game2.7
2.1Conceded per game1.2
1.29Points per game2.14
36%Win rate64%
-10Goal difference42
11Form, last 5 (pts)12
Strommen form
WWWDDH Stromsgodset1–0
A ODD Ballklubb1–2
H Asane6–1
A Stabaek2–2
H Sandnes ULF3–3
Stromsgodset form
LLWWWA Molde4–1
A Strommen1–0
H Haugesund5–0
H Kongsvinger5–1
A Lyn1–5
Head to head
1
Strommen
0
Draw
1
Stromsgodset
Oct 2026Strommen – Stromsgodset1–0
May 2026Stromsgodset – Strommen3–0
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund28+3462
2Stromsgodset28+4260
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb28+1145
6Bryne28-140
7Ranheim28+338
8hodd28-738
9Strommen28-1036
10Egersund28-1135
Match preview
Our model makes Stromsgodset clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (1.38 for Strommen, 2.72 for Stromsgodset), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Strommen sit 9th on 36 points; Stromsgodset are 2nd on 60.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.