Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 24Saturday, 3 October 2026
Strommen
10th · 36 pts3–3FULL TIME
Sandnes ULF
13th · 30 pts50% Strommen
22% Draw
28% Sandnes
OUR PICK
Strommen to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.42
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.99X4.5623.58
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
StrommenSandnes ULF1.7Goals per game1.4
2.1Conceded per game2.0
1.24Points per game1.03
34%Win rate28%
-12Goal difference-16
10Form, last 5 (pts)5
Strommen form
LWWWDA Egersund3–1
H Stromsgodset1–0
A ODD Ballklubb1–2
H Asane6–1
A Stabaek2–2
Sandnes ULF form
DWLLDA ODD Ballklubb3–3
H Lyn2–1
A Kongsvinger4–0
A Stabaek4–1
H Haugesund1–1
Head to head
0
Strommen
3
Draw
2
Sandnes
Oct 2026Strommen – Sandnes ULF3–3
Jun 2026Sandnes ULF – Strommen2–0
Oct 2021Strommen – Sandnes ULF2–2
Aug 2021Sandnes ULF – Strommen3–2
Oct 2020Sandnes ULF – Strommen2–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Strommen slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.96 for Strommen, 1.42 for Sandnes ULF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Strommen sit 10th on 36 points; Sandnes ULF are 13th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.