Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026
Strommen
10th · 36 pts13:00KICK-OFF WAT
Lyn
11th · 34 pts49% Strommen
21% Draw
30% Lyn
OUR PICK
Strommen to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.61
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.06X4.7223.30
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
StrommenLyn1.7Goals per game1.6
2.1Conceded per game2.0
1.24Points per game1.17
34%Win rate34%
-12Goal difference-13
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Strommen form
LWWWDA Egersund3–1
H Stromsgodset1–0
A ODD Ballklubb1–2
H Asane6–1
A Stabaek2–2
Lyn form
WLWLLA Tromsdalen Uil1–3
A Sandnes ULF2–1
H Moss1–0
A Haugesund3–0
H Stromsgodset1–5
Head to head
1
Strommen
0
Draw
3
Lyn
May 2026Lyn – Strommen1–0
Jan 2026Lyn – Strommen1–2
Feb 2024Lyn – Strommen3–1
Feb 2023Strommen – Lyn0–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Strommen slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.07 for Strommen, 1.61 for Lyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Strommen sit 10th on 36 points; Lyn are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.