Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg
16th · 7 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Auxerre
12th · 10 pts48% Strasbourg
20% Draw
31% Auxerre
OUR PICK
Strasbourg to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.78
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X4.9323.19
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.35NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.35
GG
74%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
StrasbourgAuxerre1.5Goals per game1.5
2.3Conceded per game2.3
0.88Points per game1.25
25%Win rate38%
-6Goal difference-6
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Strasbourg form
No recent matches.
Auxerre form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Strasbourg
0
Draw
0
Auxerre
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Rennes9+116
4Monaco8+415
5Lyon8+614
6Paris FC8+414
7Nice9+114
8Lens9+313
9Marseille8+512
10Lorient8+112
Match preview
Our model makes Strasbourg slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.23 for Strasbourg, 1.78 for Auxerre), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Strasbourg sit 16th on 7 points; Auxerre are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.