Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City
7th · 23 pts2–0FULL TIME
Preston
24th · 5 pts72% Stoke
18% Draw
11% Preston
OUR PICK
Stoke City to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
2.25 – 0.73
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.39X5.6929.45
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Stoke CityPreston1.5Goals per game0.8
1.2Conceded per game2.1
1.77Points per game0.38
54%Win rate8%
4Goal difference-17
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Stoke City form
No recent matches.
Preston form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Stoke
0
Draw
0
Preston
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Stoke City clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.25 for Stoke City, 0.73 for Preston), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stoke City sit 7th on 23 points; Preston are 24th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.