Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
77%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Edgeley Park
Stockport County
2nd · 26 pts2–1FULL TIME
AFC Wimbledon
18th · 13 pts74% Stockport
17% Draw
9% AFC
OUR PICK
Stockport County to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.35
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.59
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.35X5.80211.67
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.09
1X
91%
Season stats
Stockport CountyAFC Wimbledon1.9Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game1.6
1.86Points per game1.00
57%Win rate23%
12Goal difference-12
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Stockport County form
No recent matches.
AFC Wimbledon form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Stockport
0
Draw
0
AFC
These sides haven't met recently.
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Stockport County clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.19 for Stockport County, 0.59 for AFC Wimbledon), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stockport County sit 2nd on 26 points; AFC Wimbledon are 18th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.