Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Sør Arena
Start
16th · 19 pts1–0FULL TIME
Sandefjord
12th · 27 pts29% Start
27% Draw
44% Sandefjord
OUR PICK
Sandefjord to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.40
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.41X3.7522.27
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
StartSandefjord1.0Goals per game1.0
2.2Conceded per game1.4
0.76Points per game1.08
20%Win rate28%
-29Goal difference-8
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Start form
LWLLWH Lillestrom0–1
H Sandefjord1–0
A Molde6–1
H Ham-Kam2–4
A Raufoss1–5
Sandefjord form
WLLLDA Aalesund3–4
A ODD Ballklubb3–1
A Start1–0
H Lillestrom0–2
A Rosenborg1–1
Head to head
2
Start
1
Draw
2
Sandefjord
Oct 2026Start – Sandefjord1–0
Sept 2026Sandefjord – Start3–0
Mar 2026Sandefjord – Start3–2
Mar 2023Start – Sandefjord1–0
May 2021Start – Sandefjord1–1
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Sandefjord slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.09 for Start, 1.40 for Sandefjord), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Start sit 16th on 19 points; Sandefjord are 12th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.