Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 25Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Sør Arena
Start
16th · 19 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Lillestrom
6th · 39 pts24% Start
23% Draw
52% Lillestrom
OUR PICK
Lillestrom to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.76
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.10X4.2621.92
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
StartLillestrom1.1Goals per game1.5
2.3Conceded per game1.4
0.79Points per game1.63
21%Win rate50%
-28Goal difference2
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Start form
No recent matches.
Lillestrom form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Start
0
Draw
0
Lillestrom
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde24+2143
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Tromso24+940
6Lillestrom24+239
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531
8KFUM Oslo24-930
9Brann24+229
10Valerenga24-729
Match preview
Our model makes Lillestrom slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.13 for Start, 1.76 for Lillestrom), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Start sit 16th on 19 points; Lillestrom are 6th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.