Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 11Friday, 6 November 2026 · Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Standard Liege
9th · 12 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
SK Beveren
12th · 10 pts55% Standard
22% Draw
23% SK
OUR PICK
Standard Liege to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.23
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X4.6424.34
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.27
12
78%
Season stats
Standard LiegeSK Beveren1.5Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game2.0
1.20Points per game1.00
30%Win rate30%
-1Goal difference-7
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
Standard Liege form
DLWLLH Kortrijk1–1
A Genk2–1
H Dender2–0
H Charleroi0–1
H Lens0–2
SK Beveren form
LDWLLH Union St. Gilloise1–2
A KVC Westerlo4–4
H Habay-la-Neuve3–0
H Lommel United1–3
A Kortrijk1–0
Head to head
4
Standard
0
Draw
1
SK
Oct 2025SK Beveren – Standard Liege1–2
Jan 2021Standard Liege – SK Beveren3–1
Aug 2020SK Beveren – Standard Liege1–2
Dec 2019SK Beveren – Standard Liege2–1
Oct 2019Standard Liege – SK Beveren2–0
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Standard Liege clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.01 for Standard Liege, 1.23 for SK Beveren), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Standard Liege sit 9th on 12 points; SK Beveren are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.