Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Stade Brestois 29
10th · 12 pts17:15KICK-OFF WAT
Lyon
3rd · 17 pts35% Stade
26% Draw
38% Lyon
OUR PICK
Lyon to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.33
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.85X3.7822.60
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Stade Brestois 29Lyon1.8Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game0.8
1.33Points per game1.89
33%Win rate56%
4Goal difference8
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
Stade Brestois 29 form
LDWDLH Nice1–2
A Lille1–1
H Angers5–1
H Monza2–2
A Auxerre2–1
Lyon form
WLLWWH Angers2–0
A Paris Saint Germain2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim3–0
H Nice2–1
H Crystal Palace3–2
Head to head
1
Stade
1
Draw
3
Lyon
Jan 2026Lyon – Stade Brestois 292–1
Nov 2025Stade Brestois 29 – Lyon0–0
Mar 2025Lyon – Stade Brestois 292–1
Jan 2025Stade Brestois 29 – Lyon2–1
Apr 2024Lyon – Stade Brestois 294–3
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Stade Brestois 299+412
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Stade Brestois 29 35%, the draw 26%, Lyon 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.26 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.33 for Lyon), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stade Brestois 29 sit 10th on 12 points; Lyon are 3rd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.