NOR1. Division · Matchday 26Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek

4th · 55 pts

4–1FULL TIME

Sandnes ULF

13th · 30 pts

72% Stabaek

16% Draw

12% Sandnes

OUR PICK

Stabaek to win

Model probability 72% · fair odds

1.39

Expected goals

2.54 – 0.93

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.39X6.1728.55

Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86

Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.16

Over 1.5

86%

Over/Under 2.5@1.49

Over 2.5

67%

Both teams to score@1.79

56%

Double chance@1.13

88%

Season stats

StabaekSandnes ULF

2.4Goals per game1.4

1.2Conceded per game2.0

1.96Points per game1.03

61%Win rate28%

32Goal difference-16

10Form, last 5 (pts)5

Stabaek form

WWWDL

H ODD Ballklubb2–0

A Asane0–1

H Sandnes ULF4–1

H Strommen2–2

A Haugesund2–0

Sandnes ULF form

DWLLD

A ODD Ballklubb3–3

H Lyn2–1

A Kongsvinger4–0

A Stabaek4–1

H Haugesund1–1

Head to head

Stabaek

Draw

Sandnes

Oct 2026Stabaek – Sandnes ULF4–1

May 2026Sandnes ULF – Stabaek0–1

Aug 2024Sandnes ULF – Stabaek1–3

Jul 2024Stabaek – Sandnes ULF3–0

Oct 2022Sandnes ULF – Stabaek2–2

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Haugesund29+3665

2Stromsgodset29+4563

3Kongsvinger28+3759

4Stabaek28+3255

5ODD Ballklubb29+1146

6Bryne29+243

7Ranheim29+441

8Egersund29-938

9hodd29-1038

10Strommen29-1236

Match preview

Our model makes Stabaek clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.54 for Stabaek, 0.93 for Sandnes ULF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Stabaek sit 4th on 55 points; Sandnes ULF are 13th on 30.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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