Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Nadderud Stadion
Stabaek
4th · 55 pts2–0FULL TIME
ODD Ballklubb
5th · 45 pts57% Stabaek
21% Draw
22% ODD
OUR PICK
Stabaek to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.25
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.74X4.8424.57
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
StabaekODD Ballklubb2.4Goals per game1.9
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.96Points per game1.61
61%Win rate46%
32Goal difference11
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Stabaek form
WWWDLH ODD Ballklubb2–0
A Asane0–1
H Sandnes ULF4–1
H Strommen2–2
A Haugesund2–0
ODD Ballklubb form
WLLWWH Sandefjord3–1
A Stabaek2–0
H Strommen1–2
A Sogndal0–1
H Bryne2–1
Head to head
1
Stabaek
2
Draw
2
ODD
Oct 2026Stabaek – ODD Ballklubb2–0
Apr 2026ODD Ballklubb – Stabaek2–2
Oct 2025Stabaek – ODD Ballklubb2–2
Jul 2025ODD Ballklubb – Stabaek2–0
Aug 2023ODD Ballklubb – Stabaek4–0
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund28+3462
2Stromsgodset28+4260
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb28+1145
6Bryne28-140
7Ranheim28+338
8hodd28-738
9Strommen28-1036
10Egersund28-1135
Match preview
Our model makes Stabaek clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.13 for Stabaek, 1.25 for ODD Ballklubb), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Stabaek sit 4th on 55 points; ODD Ballklubb are 5th on 45.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.